In these turbulent and uncertain times, it is easy to focus only on the violent economic fluctuations within the business cycle. However, there is also a bigger picture: the longer-run increase in economic output across history.
Measuring growth is important, because it defines the standard of living available to humanity. As Bob Lucas put it:
“Once one starts to think about [questions of growth], it is hard to think about anything else.”
Part 1. The world really is better when GDP per capita goes up:
Part 2. Prosperity is an exception, not a rule:
Part 3. Economic growth is about ideas and institutions:
Part 4. Growth and existential safety are complements, not substitutes:
More to come!